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Henrietta, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Henrietta NY
National Weather Service Forecast for: Henrietta NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY
Updated: 4:36 pm EDT Jun 26, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 11 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers
Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers before 8pm, then a chance of showers after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly Cloudy
then Chance
Showers
Friday

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  High near 83. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Heavy Rain

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Heavy Rain

Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. West wind around 11 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West wind around 6 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph after midnight.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Hi 73 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 62 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 65 °F Hi 90 °F

Beach Hazards Statement
Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

This Afternoon
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers before 8pm, then a chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 83. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Friday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. West wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. West wind around 6 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 65. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph after midnight.
Monday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 82.
Wednesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 61.
Thursday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Henrietta NY.

Weather Forecast Discussion
660
FXUS61 KBUF 261935
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
335 PM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary will remain over the eastern Great Lakes
region through Saturday, producing several rounds of showers
and scattered thunderstorms with localized heavy rainfall
possible. The front will finally move east of the area Saturday
night, with high pressure building into the eastern Great Lakes
Sunday providing a dry second half of the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A humid airmass persists across western and north-central NY today.
A broad ridge remains across the southeast U.S. with zonal flow
across the eastern Great Lakes region and Northeast. A wavy
stationary front remains across the Great Lakes region, with it
extending across western NY. A dichotomy of weather exists
across the forecast area where stratus and temperatures in the
mid 60s are just north of the front and sunshine, congested
cumulus and temperatures in the 80s are south of the front.
Mesoanalysis shows SBCAPE of 1000 J/kg and shear of less than 25
knots across the western Southern Tier. Based on satellite
imagery, little if any glaciation has occurred in cu development
and based on the kinematics, severe threat is low through this
evening.

Elsewhere, multiple waves will continue to ride the westerly flow
today. Areas of rain will ride along the southern shore of Lake
Ontario this afternoon, while scattered showers move across the
North Country this afternoon.

The ridge builds northward while a shortwave trough moves into the
Upper Great Lakes region tonight. Widely scattered showers are
possible with the humid airmass in place but organized convection is
not anticipated for most of the night. A surface low will move into
the central Great Lakes Friday morning. A warm front will lift
northward across western NY Friday. Surface heating and a very
humid airmass will lead to convection initiation across western
NY by late Friday morning. A pre-frontal trough will likely be
the focus of showers and storms from the western Southern Tier
into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes region. The Buffalo
Metro and Niagara Frontier will be on the western fringe of
organized convection and should be spared by the greater
rainfall amounts. High PWATS, light 850-300mb wind, high RH% in
1000-500mb layer increases the potential for heavy rain across
the region. HREF 3-hr PMM shows medium (50-70%) probability of
greater than an inch of rain from Cattaraugus county to Monroe
county with probabilities tapering off west and east of that
corridor. There is a conditional threat for localized flash
flooding in this area.

Further north, showers are likely with a few thunderstorms possible
Friday afternoon. Fcst shear is higher, but instability is low. The
threat for heavy rainfall is low east of Lake Ontario through
Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Surface low pressure over the SOO Locks Friday evening will move
across Ontario and into Quebec through Saturday night. A warm front
will move across the eastern Lake Ontario region Friday night. A
warm, humid airmass will maintain the chance for showers and
thunderstorms across the region. Heavy rainfall is likely in
activity, and forecast soundings show some signals of training
storms east of Lake Ontario late Friday night. There is a
conditional threat of localized flooding overnight. Coverage of
showers and thunderstorms will be less across western NY the first
half of the night, however upstream convection will likely move into
the region late Friday night. Due to the loss of daytime heating,
the severe threat is low late Friday night. The front will move
across the forecast area Saturday and the chance from showers and
storms will diminish from west to east. Cooler and drier air
will persist across the region through Sunday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An approaching cold front and trough will increase the
potential for showers late Monday, which will continue through
Tuesday evening for at least some portions of the area. Drier
weather is expected for Wednesday and Thursday, though some
guidance is suggesting the potential for afternoon showers with
the daytime heating.

Temperatures will remain near to above normal for the period, with
the warmest temperatures expected on Monday ahead of the
approaching cold front.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A wavy stationary boundary will remain across western NY through
tonight. Northeast flow has led to persistent stratus south of
Lake Ontario today. MVFR conditions will likely persist at KROC
and kIAG through the afternoon. Stable, billow clouds can be
found north of the boundary with a few waves moving in the
westerly flow across the region. Convection is occurring south
of the boundary. A few thunderstorms are possible but mainly
east of KJHW.

Tonight, the stalled frontal zone will remain over the eastern Great
Lakes. Convergence and moisture along the front will continue to
support a few scattered showers overnight, but these should remain
rather disorganized. Areas of MVFR CIGS will continue, with some IFR
across the higher terrain of the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes.

Showers and thunderstorms will likely develop across western NY
late Friday morning. These will likely produce heavy rain with
flight restrictions possible from KJHW to KROC. At this time,
KBUF and KIAG are west of the main axis of rainfall. Showers
will be possible at KART through the morning. MVFR flight
conditions will slowly improve across the higher terrain.

Outlook...

Saturday...VFR/MVFR with showers likely. Scattered thunderstorms
also possible with local/brief IFR. Improving to VFR with rain
ending Saturday night.

Sunday...VFR.

Monday and Tuesday...Mainly VFR. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms later in the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will build from Quebec to northern New England by
Friday, while a frontal zone remains stalled over the southern
Great Lakes. Northeast winds will increase on Lake Ontario today
as the surface high passes by to the north, bringing a round of
Small Craft Advisory conditions to the south shore of the lake
later today through tonight. Winds will remain lighter on Lake
Erie, with some chop developing tonight.

Winds will diminish by Friday morning, then becoming southerly later
Friday through Friday night as the stalled frontal zone moves back
north as a warm front.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Beach Hazards Statement through late tonight for NYZ001>004.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for LOZ042-043.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Hitchcock/HSK
NEAR TERM...HSK
SHORT TERM...HSK
LONG TERM...HSK/SW
AVIATION...HSK
MARINE...Hitchcock
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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